Thursday, July 22, 2010
Yunel Escobar sees increase in Fantasy value with trade to Toronto
After being traded to the Toronto Blue Jays Yunel Escobar is capable of retuning to the top 10 of fantasy Shortstops. He will be batting 2nd in an offensively potent Jays lineup. A big upgrade from Atlanta where he was often in the 7 hole had the team's worst hitter and the pitcher to try and drive him in. In Toronto it will be Vernon Wells and Jose Bautista. His power has finally come around and another 7-9 dingers finish of the year isn't out of the question. He is a career .292 hitter despite the .252 average he has put up this season and struck 15 bombs in 2009. 17-20 over a full season with an average hovering near .300 with 30+ doubles at the top of a powerful lineup spells success for fantasy owners.
Friday, June 4, 2010
What is up with Jose Bautista?
Apparently a lot of baseballs are up, up, way up for Bautista. The surprising Major League home run leader is hitting the ball in the air 53% of the time compared to a career 44%. He is also hitting those fly balls out of the park at almost twice the rate of his career average. This all suggests a drop to come but it may not be as drastic as many are expecting. He is striking out at a slightly lower rate and walking more often. He is seeing the ball better than ever before in his career and this is translating to a more confident swing. ZiPS predicts a drop off but still projects him for more than 30 HR. 35 is a realistic number for this season and 25-30 seems like a reasonable number for the following few seasons.
Yunel Escobar looking more golden than silver
Coming into this season Yunel Escobar was one of the National League's top hitting shortstops. In 2010 it is unlikely he will be nominated for a Silver Slugger while struggling at the plate with a .224 AVG and 0 HR. Early in the year it has been his glove that has been doing much of the damage. Watching him the past couple of days I have seen him make a number of Gold Glove worthy plays. Somewhat surprisingly his glovework has gone generally unnoticed despite leading all SS with 22 Total Zone runs last season. His high error totals are the only thing keeping him from Gold Glove consideration. The low numbers at the plate won't help his odds of bringing home some hardware but his bat is coming around hitting .390 over his last 9 games (13-33). Injuries have slowed him so far in 2010 but a healthy Escobar could get some buzz come award season.
Thursday, June 3, 2010
Too late for Galarraga, still time for John Lindsey
With fans everywhere calling for the Jim Joyce call to be reversed, the question begs whether it's too late. In my mind the moment Joyce called Jason Donald safe it was too late to reverse the call. Selig and co. are likely to agree no matter what the masses think. Galarraga knows he threw a perfect game, Joyce knows, the whole world knows so what's the point in undercutting the game and its tradition? It may not be right but it's the way things go in baseball.
While it's too late for an umpire's call to be reversed it's still not too late for a ball player's big league dreams. John Lindsey is a minor league veteran of 17 years and has yet to step foot in a major league batters box. It's not for a lack of talent either. Lindsey has been a talented hitter for some time now but for various reasons has yet to reach his goal of a big league at-bat. Through 46 games in the AAA Pacific Coast League he leads all players with a .411 AVG and ranks second with a 1.162 OPS.
His path to the Dodgers is blocked by James Loney and a promotion seems unlikely even with a Loney injury. It would be nice to see the 33 year old's dream come true and maybe it's time for the Dodgers to trade him to a team willing to give him a chance. Sure he may not become an All-Star but with the production he has sustained over his lengthy minor league career he is likely to prove valuable on a big league roster somewhere.
While it's too late for an umpire's call to be reversed it's still not too late for a ball player's big league dreams. John Lindsey is a minor league veteran of 17 years and has yet to step foot in a major league batters box. It's not for a lack of talent either. Lindsey has been a talented hitter for some time now but for various reasons has yet to reach his goal of a big league at-bat. Through 46 games in the AAA Pacific Coast League he leads all players with a .411 AVG and ranks second with a 1.162 OPS.
His path to the Dodgers is blocked by James Loney and a promotion seems unlikely even with a Loney injury. It would be nice to see the 33 year old's dream come true and maybe it's time for the Dodgers to trade him to a team willing to give him a chance. Sure he may not become an All-Star but with the production he has sustained over his lengthy minor league career he is likely to prove valuable on a big league roster somewhere.
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Chris Capuano making return to big league
A story that has flown under the radar is the return of the once promising Chris Capuano who broke out with an 18 win campaign in 2005. However, after pitching 440.1 in two seasons, he developed elbow problems. After 2 Tommy John surgeries a return to Rookie Ball and a strong showing in AAA this year, Capuano is making his return to the biggest stage. While a return to old form is unlikely it's nice to see a guy I once cheered for take the mound.
Nobody's Perfect
With 2 outs and a perfect game on the line Jim Joyce made one of the worst missed calls in baseball history. Replays showed Jason Donald was clearly out on what should have been the 27th out but Joyce called him safe. Armando Galarraga and his Tigers teammates could not believe the call.
Internet forums quickly flooded with people calling for Joyce's dismissal. While the call was bad it is still a bit harsh to fire him over it. A part of the game is human error and umpires miss calls from time to time. Just because the mistake was made during such an important moment does not make it a reason for his career to end. Had the call been made during a slugfest no one would have said a thing and internet fools would have to find another topic to flex their lack of rationality on.
Others are saying the MLB should reverse the call and reward Galarraga with the perfect game. This is unlikely to happen and quite frankly would be quite disappointing if they did. This would be a blow to the integrity of the game. As stated above, human error is a part of the game and always has been. What is to say this wasn't the first time a call was blown during what would have been a perfect game? It happened, it sucks, get over it. Armando Galarraga's name is sure to be mentioned during any perfect game discussion anyway.
Bring on the instant replay debate.
Internet forums quickly flooded with people calling for Joyce's dismissal. While the call was bad it is still a bit harsh to fire him over it. A part of the game is human error and umpires miss calls from time to time. Just because the mistake was made during such an important moment does not make it a reason for his career to end. Had the call been made during a slugfest no one would have said a thing and internet fools would have to find another topic to flex their lack of rationality on.
Others are saying the MLB should reverse the call and reward Galarraga with the perfect game. This is unlikely to happen and quite frankly would be quite disappointing if they did. This would be a blow to the integrity of the game. As stated above, human error is a part of the game and always has been. What is to say this wasn't the first time a call was blown during what would have been a perfect game? It happened, it sucks, get over it. Armando Galarraga's name is sure to be mentioned during any perfect game discussion anyway.
Bring on the instant replay debate.
Tuesday, June 1, 2010
Dangerous Dan Haren pitches gem for D-Backs as well as fantasy owners
He may not have thrown a perfect game, or complete game, or even record the win for that matter, but Dan Haren still pitched one of the season's best games tonight. Throwing 8 shut out innings, he made 126 pitches in a thrilling pitcher's duel. 84 of Haren's pitches went for strikes and the majority of his 42 balls were just off the plate.
John Ely pitched brilliantly opposite Haren going 7 innings allowing 2 hits.
As if the pitching duel wasn't enough, legendary broadcaster it was Vin Scully calling the game.
Haren went 8 innings thanks in part to his skills with the bat. Being as Scully called him "undoubtedly the best hitting pitcher in the National League" he was kept in the game when batting in the bottom of the 7th.
This ability with the bat adds another dimension to his fantasy value. Keep this in mind on draft day if looking for innings. Innings often lead to more wins and the boost in strikeouts is also a nice touch.
John Ely pitched brilliantly opposite Haren going 7 innings allowing 2 hits.
As if the pitching duel wasn't enough, legendary broadcaster it was Vin Scully calling the game.
Haren went 8 innings thanks in part to his skills with the bat. Being as Scully called him "undoubtedly the best hitting pitcher in the National League" he was kept in the game when batting in the bottom of the 7th.
This ability with the bat adds another dimension to his fantasy value. Keep this in mind on draft day if looking for innings. Innings often lead to more wins and the boost in strikeouts is also a nice touch.
Friday, May 28, 2010
Kevin Millar escorted from seat in Fenway
Kevin Millar, one of the integral members of the 2004 Red Sox World Series was kicked out of a dugout-side seat during today's game against the Royals when it was discovered he didn't have a ticket for the seat. Is this the way to treat a guy who was one of the leaders on a team that brought the team its first World Series championship in 86 years and ended the curse of the Bambino? I'm pretty sure there wasn't anyone at Fenway complaining and maybe the Red Sox should relax a little. With their struggles so far this year they could use Millar's laid back attitude. The Royals ended up thumping the Sox 12-5. Could this be the start of the Curse of the Idiot?
Thursday, May 27, 2010
John Ely surprising find for Dodgers
Two weeks after his 24th birthday Dodgers rookie John Ely pitched brilliantly but still took the loss in a game where pitching reigned supreme. Despite lowering his ERA .41 points his record fell to 3-2 on the year. After a shaky debut he has held opposing teams to 2 runs or less in all 5 subsequent starts and is clearly holding his own in the Bigs after a rapid ascent through the minors. Impressing with a 14-2 record in AA last year he needed only 3 AAA starts in 2010 before being called up to The Show. Without overpowering stuff, Ely could be a candidate for regression. His solid control could be the key to his staying power and the toss-in in the Juan Pierre trade could be a pleasant surprise for the Dodgers.
Monday, May 17, 2010
Are the 2010 Blue Jays for real?
As we approach the quarter-way point of the season it becomes time to question whether some of the early season surprises are for real or whether they should brace themselves for impact.
Many predicted the Toronto Blue Jays would lose 90 or more games this year but they have themselves a handsome 23-16 record to this point. A collapse is expected but it may not be as big as some may think.
The Halladay-less Jays pitching staff has surprisingly been the team's strong point even without the best pitcher in the game. Led by Ricky Romero and Shaun Marcum the Jays have found ways to win tight ballgames. Brandon Morrow is coming around as a more dependable arm in the rotation.
The offense doesn't connect much with a combined .238 AVG but when they do, look out! The Jays mashers have hit an MLB leading 60 home runs, 11 more than the second place Red sox. The team's ISO is a mind boggling and unsustainable .221. While Alex Gonzalez and Jose Bautista's power surges - 10 HR each - are likely to slow; Vernon Wells' own surge is looking legitimate due to a healthy wrist and return to old form. Any regression by Gonzalez and Bautista is likely to be picked up by an improvement in play by Adam Lind and Aaron Hill. The duo have put up a combined .204 AVG, 9 HR and 30 RBI in 240 at bats just a year after teaming up to go .295 AVG, 71 HR, 232 RBI. While Hill likely won't hit as many home runs as last year he and Lind are much better hitters than they have displayed so far.
New GM Alex Anthopolous has done a nice job of building on what JP Ricciardi left behind. The trade for Fred Lewis has provided the spark the team has needed at the top of the lineup after the departure of Marco Scutaro. Free Agent closer Kevin Gregg was a nice find and is in the middle of a break-out season. Anthopolous also acquired starting pitcher Dana Eveland in a deal with Oakland. Eveland has done a nice job at the back end of the rotation.
With Travis Snider's bat heating up and a couple of prospects knocking on the door, the Jays could continue their winning ways. Sure, they aren't likely to catch the Rays or Yankees this year but they are a looking a lot more than just the punching bags many predicted them to be.
Many predicted the Toronto Blue Jays would lose 90 or more games this year but they have themselves a handsome 23-16 record to this point. A collapse is expected but it may not be as big as some may think.
The Halladay-less Jays pitching staff has surprisingly been the team's strong point even without the best pitcher in the game. Led by Ricky Romero and Shaun Marcum the Jays have found ways to win tight ballgames. Brandon Morrow is coming around as a more dependable arm in the rotation.
The offense doesn't connect much with a combined .238 AVG but when they do, look out! The Jays mashers have hit an MLB leading 60 home runs, 11 more than the second place Red sox. The team's ISO is a mind boggling and unsustainable .221. While Alex Gonzalez and Jose Bautista's power surges - 10 HR each - are likely to slow; Vernon Wells' own surge is looking legitimate due to a healthy wrist and return to old form. Any regression by Gonzalez and Bautista is likely to be picked up by an improvement in play by Adam Lind and Aaron Hill. The duo have put up a combined .204 AVG, 9 HR and 30 RBI in 240 at bats just a year after teaming up to go .295 AVG, 71 HR, 232 RBI. While Hill likely won't hit as many home runs as last year he and Lind are much better hitters than they have displayed so far.
New GM Alex Anthopolous has done a nice job of building on what JP Ricciardi left behind. The trade for Fred Lewis has provided the spark the team has needed at the top of the lineup after the departure of Marco Scutaro. Free Agent closer Kevin Gregg was a nice find and is in the middle of a break-out season. Anthopolous also acquired starting pitcher Dana Eveland in a deal with Oakland. Eveland has done a nice job at the back end of the rotation.
With Travis Snider's bat heating up and a couple of prospects knocking on the door, the Jays could continue their winning ways. Sure, they aren't likely to catch the Rays or Yankees this year but they are a looking a lot more than just the punching bags many predicted them to be.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Stats vs. Intangibles
Baseball is a number lover's game but there will always the debate between numbers an intangibles. Derek Jeter is perhaps the poster boy for intangibles. The numbers say he is a below average defender. One the other hand there are those who watch him and say he is above average. Who do you believe?
A common example is the 2001 ALDS play where he sprinted across the diamond to snag an errant throw and flip it to the catcher to nail the runner at home. An intangibles fan would say the numbers don't show that.
So?
How many times has Jeter made that play? Once. What about the ball hit up the middle that eludes Captain Yankee but would have found a home in the glove of a more fleet footed shortstop? The plays that matter most are the routine plays and balls hit into a defender's zone. And that's where Derek falls behind. The numbers show show a Jeter with limited range and a decent arm.
Sure Jeter is exciting to watch. Seeing him snag a ball on the run then jump and spin a throw to first certainly looks impressive. The shortstop that makes that same play look easy is the really impressive one. Unfortunately a shortstop getting to a ball standing up with plenty of time to make a throw isn't as likely to make it to Sportscenter.
And that begs the question. Does it really matter if Jeter is a sub-par defender? Baseball afterall is a form of entertainment and all that flash and dazzle certainly adds to the game's excitement.
In the end Jeter is still an above-average all-around player and has a knack for making it look great.
A common example is the 2001 ALDS play where he sprinted across the diamond to snag an errant throw and flip it to the catcher to nail the runner at home. An intangibles fan would say the numbers don't show that.
So?
How many times has Jeter made that play? Once. What about the ball hit up the middle that eludes Captain Yankee but would have found a home in the glove of a more fleet footed shortstop? The plays that matter most are the routine plays and balls hit into a defender's zone. And that's where Derek falls behind. The numbers show show a Jeter with limited range and a decent arm.
Sure Jeter is exciting to watch. Seeing him snag a ball on the run then jump and spin a throw to first certainly looks impressive. The shortstop that makes that same play look easy is the really impressive one. Unfortunately a shortstop getting to a ball standing up with plenty of time to make a throw isn't as likely to make it to Sportscenter.
And that begs the question. Does it really matter if Jeter is a sub-par defender? Baseball afterall is a form of entertainment and all that flash and dazzle certainly adds to the game's excitement.
In the end Jeter is still an above-average all-around player and has a knack for making it look great.
Past Promise: Zach Crouch
In my wandering through baseball history I came across an interesting player who seemed to have some pitching talent but for whatever reason was unable to carve out a Major League career. Zach Crouch was a young southpaw making his way through the Red Sox organization in the late eighties.
Playing his first professional season at age 19 he posted an 8-5 record with a 3.78 ERA. Crouch moved through the Red Sox system quickly and by 1988 at age 22 he was pitching for AAA Pawtucket. That same year he got his one and only shot at the big time and allowed 4 hits while walking a pair in 1.1 innings pitched. The next year he was down to AA and put up a solid 3.26 ERA. Despite the promising showing in AA the 1989 season would be his last.
Digging a little deeper I was unable to find out more about why he never stuck around the show. He could have left for personal reasons or a loss of confidence after being beat around at the higher levels. Judging solely one the number however suggest he could have become a successful big league pitcher.
Zach Crouch followed a similar path to the majors as current Red Sox hurler Jon Lester. Through 611 innings pitched in the minors, Crouch had a 3.58 ERA. Lester posted a 3.33 ERA in 483.2 minor league innings. The difference is Crouch's innings were spread across 5 seasons whereas Lester's came in 6 seasons. The large workload for a young pitcher may have wore him out mentally if not physically.
This story is an example of one of the many talented players who never rise to prominence despite having the talent. It is also a tale in the unpredictability of life. It is proof that talent alone cannot get you to the show and should act as a lesson in perseverance. We can only wonder what Zach Crouch could have become. However, there is no denying he had some skill in keeping people from scoring runs.
Playing his first professional season at age 19 he posted an 8-5 record with a 3.78 ERA. Crouch moved through the Red Sox system quickly and by 1988 at age 22 he was pitching for AAA Pawtucket. That same year he got his one and only shot at the big time and allowed 4 hits while walking a pair in 1.1 innings pitched. The next year he was down to AA and put up a solid 3.26 ERA. Despite the promising showing in AA the 1989 season would be his last.
Digging a little deeper I was unable to find out more about why he never stuck around the show. He could have left for personal reasons or a loss of confidence after being beat around at the higher levels. Judging solely one the number however suggest he could have become a successful big league pitcher.
Zach Crouch followed a similar path to the majors as current Red Sox hurler Jon Lester. Through 611 innings pitched in the minors, Crouch had a 3.58 ERA. Lester posted a 3.33 ERA in 483.2 minor league innings. The difference is Crouch's innings were spread across 5 seasons whereas Lester's came in 6 seasons. The large workload for a young pitcher may have wore him out mentally if not physically.
This story is an example of one of the many talented players who never rise to prominence despite having the talent. It is also a tale in the unpredictability of life. It is proof that talent alone cannot get you to the show and should act as a lesson in perseverance. We can only wonder what Zach Crouch could have become. However, there is no denying he had some skill in keeping people from scoring runs.
Monday, May 10, 2010
NHL intros
I just want to comment on how exciting the start of an NHL play-off game is. With an energy filled song blaring the opposing team takes to the ice to a chorus of boos. The song gains momentum then at the climax the home team comes blazing out of the gate for their warm-up.
From the music to the crowd to the players doing circles and shooting pucks, everything works in harmony to get you amped for the game. Nothing, not baseball players lining up on the foul lines or basketball players running a gauntlet of high fives can quite match the energy and excitement of an NHL intro.
From the music to the crowd to the players doing circles and shooting pucks, everything works in harmony to get you amped for the game. Nothing, not baseball players lining up on the foul lines or basketball players running a gauntlet of high fives can quite match the energy and excitement of an NHL intro.
Boston Red Sox prospect Josh Reddick struggling in Triple A
When Baseball America ranked Josh Reddick #75 on their top 100 prospects list many people expected more from him in 2010. Reddick is hitting only .182 through 105 at bats at Pawtucket AAA. He has flashed some power hitting 5 long balls.
Reddick has a history of struggling after moving up a level but has bounced back nicely the past few seasons. Reddick should be able to iron out some problems in AAA and start to produce on a more consistant basis.
His .205 Isolated Power number shows he will cause some trouble for opposing pitchers once he starts making better contact. A .282 career minor league hitter with plenty of power and a bazooka for an arm he projects to be the Red Sox starting right fielder once JD Drew moves on.
Reddick has a history of struggling after moving up a level but has bounced back nicely the past few seasons. Reddick should be able to iron out some problems in AAA and start to produce on a more consistant basis.
His .205 Isolated Power number shows he will cause some trouble for opposing pitchers once he starts making better contact. A .282 career minor league hitter with plenty of power and a bazooka for an arm he projects to be the Red Sox starting right fielder once JD Drew moves on.
Will Dallas Braden continue strong play?
Much has been said about the perfect game by Dallas Braden perfect game coming out of nowhere. However, the young Oakland Athletics pitcher Dallas Braden has been playing like someone A-Rod should have heard about even before the mound crossing incident and the perfect game that would follow.
Desoite what Rodriguez would have you think, Braden is actually a pitcher worth knowing. Flying under the radar in Oakland he has quietly gone about becoming one of the better young pitchers around. His minor league numbers were solid including a 2.68 career Triple A era while striking out nearly 10 per nine innings.
Through 7 starts in 2010 his ERA sits at 3.33with a WHIP below 1.00 while showing superb control. Braden has only been beat up on once this season and that was by the Tampa Bay Rays, the team he would eventually pitch his perfect game against.
Still only 26, Braden should team with Brett Anderson, Trevor Cahill, and Gio Gonzalez to form once of the better young rotations in baseball sometime in the not too distant future.
Desoite what Rodriguez would have you think, Braden is actually a pitcher worth knowing. Flying under the radar in Oakland he has quietly gone about becoming one of the better young pitchers around. His minor league numbers were solid including a 2.68 career Triple A era while striking out nearly 10 per nine innings.
Through 7 starts in 2010 his ERA sits at 3.33with a WHIP below 1.00 while showing superb control. Braden has only been beat up on once this season and that was by the Tampa Bay Rays, the team he would eventually pitch his perfect game against.
Still only 26, Braden should team with Brett Anderson, Trevor Cahill, and Gio Gonzalez to form once of the better young rotations in baseball sometime in the not too distant future.
Thursday, May 6, 2010
John Stilson making his way up the 2011 Draft board
After being drafted by the Minnesota Twins in the 19th round out of junior college, John Stilson decided not to sign and went off to Texas A&M instead. He seems to have made the right decision and could possibly go in the first round of the 2011 draft. Teaming with Barret Loux to form one of the best 1-2 punches in Division I, Stilson has gotten off to a start almost as hot as his mid-to-high 90s fastball.
Stilson is near the top of the leaderboards in a number of categories so far this year. His ERA comes in 3rd at 1.07 and the sixth place 2.54 FIP shows it's no fluke. He has shown an ability to power through hitters evidenced by his 13.95 K/9. Many young fireballers struggle with control but Stilson has managed to keep a respectable 2.50 BB/9.
His secondary pitches could use some work but they do show promise. He is able to mix a 95-98 MPH fastball with a developing slider that comes in around 81-83. He also has a curve and a change-up but both pitches need some polish before they would be big league ready.
Stilson has all the tools to be a successful reliever with swing and miss stuff. Look for him to go in the early rounds and expect a bumpy but steady rise into the big leagues where he could one day turn into a solid set-up man or if he can add some more bite to that slider he could turn into one of the game's nastier closers.
Stilson is near the top of the leaderboards in a number of categories so far this year. His ERA comes in 3rd at 1.07 and the sixth place 2.54 FIP shows it's no fluke. He has shown an ability to power through hitters evidenced by his 13.95 K/9. Many young fireballers struggle with control but Stilson has managed to keep a respectable 2.50 BB/9.
His secondary pitches could use some work but they do show promise. He is able to mix a 95-98 MPH fastball with a developing slider that comes in around 81-83. He also has a curve and a change-up but both pitches need some polish before they would be big league ready.
Stilson has all the tools to be a successful reliever with swing and miss stuff. Look for him to go in the early rounds and expect a bumpy but steady rise into the big leagues where he could one day turn into a solid set-up man or if he can add some more bite to that slider he could turn into one of the game's nastier closers.
Wednesday, May 5, 2010
Taking on Keith Law's take on tasing
Listening to ESPN radio today I heard Keith Law defending a Police Officer's use of a taser on a 17 year old fan running amok at a Philadelphia baseball game. Law argued the tasing was necessary since you never know what someone on the field is capable of doing. He went on to suggest the tasing was meant to deter people from doing it again. However, the next night there was another fan running in on a Major League game. If tasing isn't enough to deter them then what? Should we have armed riot police?
While I agree it is necessary to protect the players on the field from nut-jobs, but since when are police officers exempt from using a bit of common sense? The kid clearly wasn't looking to cause any harm, he was just an idiot looking for attention.
Law goes on to suggest putting up plexi glass to prevent fans from entering the field of play. There is already talk of putting up nets to protect fans from line drives. Safety is one thing but paying attention to a baseball game and being alert enough to get out of the way of a ball is another. Moves like these will only remove fans from the game more. One of the most exciting parts about going to a baseball game is the chance of catching a fly ball.
When a teenager can't act like a fool without being suspected of harboring criminal intents then paranoia is truly out of control.
While I agree it is necessary to protect the players on the field from nut-jobs, but since when are police officers exempt from using a bit of common sense? The kid clearly wasn't looking to cause any harm, he was just an idiot looking for attention.
Law goes on to suggest putting up plexi glass to prevent fans from entering the field of play. There is already talk of putting up nets to protect fans from line drives. Safety is one thing but paying attention to a baseball game and being alert enough to get out of the way of a ball is another. Moves like these will only remove fans from the game more. One of the most exciting parts about going to a baseball game is the chance of catching a fly ball.
When a teenager can't act like a fool without being suspected of harboring criminal intents then paranoia is truly out of control.
Staal is made of steel
Just days after undergoing surgery on a severed tendon is his foot, Jordan Staal is back on the ice skating with his Penguins teammates. The injury occured on a freak accident when PK Subban's skate blade sliced through the tongue of Staal's skate. When Staal missed game 2 of the Penguins second round series it snapped a streak of 358 consecutive games played - the longest active streak in the NHL.
Staal has been remarkably healthy up to this point, missing just a single game in his four year career.
Jordan's speedy recovery is quite amazing and if he returns to the Penguins lineup anytime soon it will speak volumes to his commitment and competition level, not to mention a Wolverine-like ability to heal himself. As a part of the Staal family, hockey is no doubt in his veins. He may very well also have steel in his bones.
Staal has been remarkably healthy up to this point, missing just a single game in his four year career.
Jordan's speedy recovery is quite amazing and if he returns to the Penguins lineup anytime soon it will speak volumes to his commitment and competition level, not to mention a Wolverine-like ability to heal himself. As a part of the Staal family, hockey is no doubt in his veins. He may very well also have steel in his bones.
Chien-Ming Wang fantasy analysis
Nationals starting pitcher Chien-Ming Wang is close to pitching to live hitters again. This is a good sign for the former Cy Young candidate and fantasy owners will be watching him carefully. However, it is unlikely he will regain his old form after undergoing shoulder surgery and a move from the Yankees to the Nationals is certain to hurt his chances of having any fantasy impact.
Wang racked up the wins in New York but that was all he would rack up. Even during his most dominant seasons he offered little fantasy value and was barely a top 50 pitcher.
Best case scenario for Wang in 2010 is a half season on the mound with a 4.50 era, 5 wins and 50 strikeouts. Coming off 2 injury filled seasons and shoulder surgery he is clearly not worth the risk even in the deepest of leagues.
Wang racked up the wins in New York but that was all he would rack up. Even during his most dominant seasons he offered little fantasy value and was barely a top 50 pitcher.
Best case scenario for Wang in 2010 is a half season on the mound with a 4.50 era, 5 wins and 50 strikeouts. Coming off 2 injury filled seasons and shoulder surgery he is clearly not worth the risk even in the deepest of leagues.
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Halak solid but Fleury better as Penguins take 2-1 lead
After defeating the Capitals in one of hockey's all-time upsets the Montreal Canadians' season is starting to look like it might be shorter than they had hoped.
Halak can only do so much in this Cinderella story and the Canadians are wearing down under the constant pressure of the Penguins' mix of solid defence and an opportunistic offense. By the third period they were clearly worn out.
Not to be outdone by Halak, Marc-Andre Fleury was brilliant at his end of the rink and came up huge when needed. Fleury kept the score at zeros until Evgeni Malkin got one past Halak.
Pascual Dupuis finished off a strong night by popping in an empty netter to put the stake in the heart of the Canadians fans.
Mike Cammalleri was once again Montreal's top offensive threat but he couldn't put one past Fleury. The Canadians' defence was solid as usual but they were unable to create any sustained pressure on offense.
Montreal is putting Sidney Crosby's leadership skills to the test much like they did to Alex Ovechkin in the first round. The result is a feistier Crosby who is a bit off his game but can break out at any moment.
Tyler Kennedy looked shaky in his return to the Penguin's lineup but simply having his energy in the line-up is bound to help a team. Craig Adams picked up some of Kennedy's slack made his presence known on the ice a number of times. Mark Eaton lost too many battles and was the Pens' weakest D-man. Jordan Leopold also returned from injury and did his part in limited ice-time. Leopold's return should ease some of the burden on Eaton and Eaton's play should improve as a result.
With so many strong players to step up when needed the Penguins are displaying true championship form. Playing against a stronger all-around team the Canadians will need more than just their goalie playing role of the fairy god mother in this tale.
Halak can only do so much in this Cinderella story and the Canadians are wearing down under the constant pressure of the Penguins' mix of solid defence and an opportunistic offense. By the third period they were clearly worn out.
Not to be outdone by Halak, Marc-Andre Fleury was brilliant at his end of the rink and came up huge when needed. Fleury kept the score at zeros until Evgeni Malkin got one past Halak.
Pascual Dupuis finished off a strong night by popping in an empty netter to put the stake in the heart of the Canadians fans.
Mike Cammalleri was once again Montreal's top offensive threat but he couldn't put one past Fleury. The Canadians' defence was solid as usual but they were unable to create any sustained pressure on offense.
Montreal is putting Sidney Crosby's leadership skills to the test much like they did to Alex Ovechkin in the first round. The result is a feistier Crosby who is a bit off his game but can break out at any moment.
Tyler Kennedy looked shaky in his return to the Penguin's lineup but simply having his energy in the line-up is bound to help a team. Craig Adams picked up some of Kennedy's slack made his presence known on the ice a number of times. Mark Eaton lost too many battles and was the Pens' weakest D-man. Jordan Leopold also returned from injury and did his part in limited ice-time. Leopold's return should ease some of the burden on Eaton and Eaton's play should improve as a result.
With so many strong players to step up when needed the Penguins are displaying true championship form. Playing against a stronger all-around team the Canadians will need more than just their goalie playing role of the fairy god mother in this tale.
If diving in hockey continues the ratings will soon follow
Diving seems to be on the rise in the NHL and it is a troubling trend. Daniel Carcillo and Maxime Lapierre are leading the charge but even players without shady reputations like Ruslan Fedotenko are getting in on the action.
Trying to gain an edge for your team is one thing but making a mockery of the game is another.
Referees are cracking down but if it continues the league may have to step in and start assessing suspensions or fines. It may seem a bit harsh but the game's integrity is at stake.
Watching Footballers rool around on the ground as if they've just been shot makes the game unwatchable. To see a player assessed a red card for a foul they didn't even commit makes the game into a joke. Hockey doesn't have the luxury of being an international sport on the level of football and diving needs to be addressed before it drives fans away.
Trying to gain an edge for your team is one thing but making a mockery of the game is another.
Referees are cracking down but if it continues the league may have to step in and start assessing suspensions or fines. It may seem a bit harsh but the game's integrity is at stake.
Watching Footballers rool around on the ground as if they've just been shot makes the game unwatchable. To see a player assessed a red card for a foul they didn't even commit makes the game into a joke. Hockey doesn't have the luxury of being an international sport on the level of football and diving needs to be addressed before it drives fans away.
Brandon Allen
Brandon Allen has been touted as one of baseball's top power hitting prospects. While he has the size and strength to hit 30+ home runs he still needs some refinement before he can become a productive big league player. In 2008 he hit 29 HRs between A and AA but in 2009 dropped to 20 between AA and AAA. In 116 at bats with the Diamondbacks he managed only 4 HR with a .202 avg.
Strikeouts continue to be his achilles heal, whiffing on 38.5% of his trips to the plate at the big league level. However, he did manage to significantly cut his strikeouts in the minors. Allen struggled in the Arizona Fall League and has gotten off to a slow start in 2010 further delaying his return to the show.
Brandon swiped 17 bases in 2008 and while it is unlikely he will post similar numbers in the majors it does show a level of athleticism. The speed means he has quick feet for a man his size and it could come in handy in the field. If he can display solid defense it will give him a longer leash in the bigs to display his power and cut down on the Ks, otherwise he will end up as yet another power hitter with nothing else to offer.
Strikeouts continue to be his achilles heal, whiffing on 38.5% of his trips to the plate at the big league level. However, he did manage to significantly cut his strikeouts in the minors. Allen struggled in the Arizona Fall League and has gotten off to a slow start in 2010 further delaying his return to the show.
Brandon swiped 17 bases in 2008 and while it is unlikely he will post similar numbers in the majors it does show a level of athleticism. The speed means he has quick feet for a man his size and it could come in handy in the field. If he can display solid defense it will give him a longer leash in the bigs to display his power and cut down on the Ks, otherwise he will end up as yet another power hitter with nothing else to offer.
Sunday, May 2, 2010
Yunel Escobar
Yunel Escobar's traditional numbers of .215 0hr 8rbi look atrocious but a closer look at his sabermatic numbers shows some more promising details.
Escobar's walk rate is up to 10.1% from 9.4% last year while his K rate sits nearly a full percentage point lower than his career average. Improvements in these two areas often lead to an increase in production. Another bright spot is how his contact percentage has risen 3% above his career average to 88.7%.
Escobar's struggles are most likely due to his uncharacteristically low .243 babip and 11.6% line drive rate. The low babip isprobably a mix of luck and his struggles to put the ball where he wants it. The drop in line drive rate shows he isn't making quality contact.
Yunel is likely heading for the DL and a nagging injury may be partly to blame for his struggles at the dish.
When he returns from injury he could bounce back to form if he continues to improve his plate discipline and makes the solid contact he had shown in his previous 3 big league seasons.
Escobar's walk rate is up to 10.1% from 9.4% last year while his K rate sits nearly a full percentage point lower than his career average. Improvements in these two areas often lead to an increase in production. Another bright spot is how his contact percentage has risen 3% above his career average to 88.7%.
Escobar's struggles are most likely due to his uncharacteristically low .243 babip and 11.6% line drive rate. The low babip isprobably a mix of luck and his struggles to put the ball where he wants it. The drop in line drive rate shows he isn't making quality contact.
Yunel is likely heading for the DL and a nagging injury may be partly to blame for his struggles at the dish.
When he returns from injury he could bounce back to form if he continues to improve his plate discipline and makes the solid contact he had shown in his previous 3 big league seasons.
Saturday, May 1, 2010
Early Silver Slugger leaders
Having just passed the 25 games mark it's not too early to recognize the Silver Sluggers for the young season.
AL
C - Jorge Posada's line of .316 5hr 12rbi gives him an edge over Joe Mauer and his .345 1hr 13rbi. Matt Wieters is having a solid sophmore season posting numbers of .279 2hr 11rbi.
1B - Paul Konerko leads all big league players with 11 HRs and his slugging percentage is .106 above any MLB first baseman. Miguel Cabrera leads the majors with 26rbi while also posting a .343 ave and 5hr. Justin Morneau is nearly as impressive with .350 6hr 18rbi
2B - Robinson Cano has posted the best numbers at second base so far by batting .389 with 8hr and 18rbi. Ty Wigginton has looked good so far going .308 6hr 12rbi. Dustin Pedroia is solid at .302 6hr 18rbi
SS - Alex Gonzalez has slugged 7hr with 19rbi while Derek Jeter continues to shine hitting .322 4hr 19rbi. Elvis Andrus leads Major League shortstops with a .400 OBP
3B - Evan Longoria leads a weak AL third basemen class .341 5hr 18rbi. Whatever his age may truly be Miguel Tejada continues to rake posting .293 4hr 13rbi.
LF - In the closest decision Josh Hamilton's .273 4hr 12rbi narrowly edges out
Adam Lind's .274 4hr 14rbi due to a .067 edge in OPS. Carl Crawford is setting himself up nicely for a big contract by batting .326 2hr 13rbi 7sb.
CF - Vernon Wells' wrist looks to be healed and it shows in his numbers .323 8hr 17rbi. Austin Jackson leads all MLB rookies with his .356 avg and 5 stolen bases
RF - Nelson Cruz is proving any doubters wrong by bashing .323 7hr 17rbi 5sb. Jose Guillen seems motivated by the prospect of free agency batting .292 7hr 19rbi. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .318 4hr 16rbi and with mandatory military service in his native South Korea looming over his head he will be looking for similar production at the2010 Asian Games where a gold medal would waive his military obligation. A thinner Andruw Jones is reviving his career going .276 8hr 11rbi 4sb
NL
C - Ryan Doumit looks to have bounced back nicely from an injury plagued 2009 by hitting .316 3hr 12rbi. Bengie Molina continues to hit well at 35 posting a .343 avg with 2hr and 9rbi. His brother Yadier leads MLB catchers with 15rbi
1B - Albert Pujols is off to another solid start going .344 7hr 21rbi and Adrian Gonzalez is looking like an awfully good piece of trade bait hitting .286 6hr 17rbi.
2B - Kelly Johnson is atop the NL home run charts along with teammate Mark Reynolds posting 9 long balls. Johnson has also driven in 18 to go along with a .310 avg. Martin Prado opened the season on a 10 game hitting streak and has hit safely in 21 of 24. Prado's average currently stands at .368. Chase Utley remains part of any top second baseman conversation with a .294 avg and 6hr 15rbi.
SS - Not surprisingly Hanley Ramirez is the head of the NL SS class after opening the season .300 3hr 10rbi. Ryan Theriot has looked good with a .343 avg and 5 stolen bases. Orlando Cabrera leads NL shortstops with 14rbi.
3b - Jorge Cantu's .311 5hr 23rbi and MLB record 10 consecutive games with hit and rbi to start a season put him at the head of the NL third basemen field. Sophmore Casey McGehee has found a home at the hot corner in Milwaukee batting .305 5hr 19rbi. "Kung Fu Panda" Pablo Sandoval has used all 262lbs of himself to slug .352 with 3hr 10rbi. Mark Reynolds has survived 28 strikeouts to hit 9 home runs and drive in 23.
LF - Ryan Braun continues to be the NL's premiere left fielder by posting .355 5hr 20rbi 6sb. To start his first full year in the bigs Carlos Gonzalez has gone .345 3hr 17rbi. Alfonso Soriano may finally be making an effort to earn his contract by hitting 4hr 13rbi
CF - Kosuke Fukudome has shown us a glimpse of what he was capable of doing in Japan with .353 5hr 17rbi and may have finally come around to the North American game. Colby Rasmus has built nicely on a solid rookie campaign by going .304 6hr 12rbi. Matt Kemp has looked great .278 7hr 20rbi.
RF - Andre Ethier has been the better of the two young Dodgers sluggers hitting .350 7hr 22rbi. Rookie phenom Jason Heyward has shown that the hype may be well deserved batting .256 7hr 20rbi. Jayson Werth could be looking for a big pay-day after the season ends and is doing his part with the bat to make sure it happens .338 3hr 16rbi.
AL
C - Jorge Posada's line of .316 5hr 12rbi gives him an edge over Joe Mauer and his .345 1hr 13rbi. Matt Wieters is having a solid sophmore season posting numbers of .279 2hr 11rbi.
1B - Paul Konerko leads all big league players with 11 HRs and his slugging percentage is .106 above any MLB first baseman. Miguel Cabrera leads the majors with 26rbi while also posting a .343 ave and 5hr. Justin Morneau is nearly as impressive with .350 6hr 18rbi
2B - Robinson Cano has posted the best numbers at second base so far by batting .389 with 8hr and 18rbi. Ty Wigginton has looked good so far going .308 6hr 12rbi. Dustin Pedroia is solid at .302 6hr 18rbi
SS - Alex Gonzalez has slugged 7hr with 19rbi while Derek Jeter continues to shine hitting .322 4hr 19rbi. Elvis Andrus leads Major League shortstops with a .400 OBP
3B - Evan Longoria leads a weak AL third basemen class .341 5hr 18rbi. Whatever his age may truly be Miguel Tejada continues to rake posting .293 4hr 13rbi.
LF - In the closest decision Josh Hamilton's .273 4hr 12rbi narrowly edges out
Adam Lind's .274 4hr 14rbi due to a .067 edge in OPS. Carl Crawford is setting himself up nicely for a big contract by batting .326 2hr 13rbi 7sb.
CF - Vernon Wells' wrist looks to be healed and it shows in his numbers .323 8hr 17rbi. Austin Jackson leads all MLB rookies with his .356 avg and 5 stolen bases
RF - Nelson Cruz is proving any doubters wrong by bashing .323 7hr 17rbi 5sb. Jose Guillen seems motivated by the prospect of free agency batting .292 7hr 19rbi. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .318 4hr 16rbi and with mandatory military service in his native South Korea looming over his head he will be looking for similar production at the2010 Asian Games where a gold medal would waive his military obligation. A thinner Andruw Jones is reviving his career going .276 8hr 11rbi 4sb
NL
C - Ryan Doumit looks to have bounced back nicely from an injury plagued 2009 by hitting .316 3hr 12rbi. Bengie Molina continues to hit well at 35 posting a .343 avg with 2hr and 9rbi. His brother Yadier leads MLB catchers with 15rbi
1B - Albert Pujols is off to another solid start going .344 7hr 21rbi and Adrian Gonzalez is looking like an awfully good piece of trade bait hitting .286 6hr 17rbi.
2B - Kelly Johnson is atop the NL home run charts along with teammate Mark Reynolds posting 9 long balls. Johnson has also driven in 18 to go along with a .310 avg. Martin Prado opened the season on a 10 game hitting streak and has hit safely in 21 of 24. Prado's average currently stands at .368. Chase Utley remains part of any top second baseman conversation with a .294 avg and 6hr 15rbi.
SS - Not surprisingly Hanley Ramirez is the head of the NL SS class after opening the season .300 3hr 10rbi. Ryan Theriot has looked good with a .343 avg and 5 stolen bases. Orlando Cabrera leads NL shortstops with 14rbi.
3b - Jorge Cantu's .311 5hr 23rbi and MLB record 10 consecutive games with hit and rbi to start a season put him at the head of the NL third basemen field. Sophmore Casey McGehee has found a home at the hot corner in Milwaukee batting .305 5hr 19rbi. "Kung Fu Panda" Pablo Sandoval has used all 262lbs of himself to slug .352 with 3hr 10rbi. Mark Reynolds has survived 28 strikeouts to hit 9 home runs and drive in 23.
LF - Ryan Braun continues to be the NL's premiere left fielder by posting .355 5hr 20rbi 6sb. To start his first full year in the bigs Carlos Gonzalez has gone .345 3hr 17rbi. Alfonso Soriano may finally be making an effort to earn his contract by hitting 4hr 13rbi
CF - Kosuke Fukudome has shown us a glimpse of what he was capable of doing in Japan with .353 5hr 17rbi and may have finally come around to the North American game. Colby Rasmus has built nicely on a solid rookie campaign by going .304 6hr 12rbi. Matt Kemp has looked great .278 7hr 20rbi.
RF - Andre Ethier has been the better of the two young Dodgers sluggers hitting .350 7hr 22rbi. Rookie phenom Jason Heyward has shown that the hype may be well deserved batting .256 7hr 20rbi. Jayson Werth could be looking for a big pay-day after the season ends and is doing his part with the bat to make sure it happens .338 3hr 16rbi.
Scully and Uecker as timeless as ever
I feel privilaged tonight listening to Vin Scully and Bob Uecker. Vin Scully has the ability to call a game with such detail you could close your eyes and imagine the game as it is happening. His knowledge of baseball history is astounding and his anecdotes fascinating. Uecker brings back memories of Harry Doyle from the old Major League films. His acting was so good that as a child I didn't even know he was a real broadcaster.
Scully and Uecker truly are two of the greatest broadcasters to ever call a game.
Scully and Uecker truly are two of the greatest broadcasters to ever call a game.
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Dontrelle Willis returning to form?
After pitching six shutout innings against the Detroit Tigers pitcher may finally start earning that massive contract of his. The D-Train looked solid all day allowing only 4 hits and 2 walks while striking out 6. His ERA on the year now sits at 3.75 and would be lower if not for a 2 run inning of relief he pitched after missing a start with the flu. With 3 for 4 in quality starts Willis could be in line for a bounce-back season. With a personality and smile as big as his it's hard to root against him.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Should Ovechkin be stripped of captaincy?
After their first round exit there are certainly changes needed in Washington. For second straight playoffs they have failed to eliminate a team after having them on the ropes.
Does Ovechkin have what it takes to be a great leader? His play at times can be enough to lead the team but he has a growing reputation as a player who cannot come through in the big games. Great leaders have been known to step it up a level when it matters most but Ovie takes a step in the opposite direction. Constantly staying long on shifts and trying to do it all by himself do not set good examples as a captain. During moments of adversity like what the Capitals faced in this series it is the captains job to set the example that leads the team to victory and too often than not Ovechkin set the wrong example. Ovie will never be considered among the great leaders of the game the way Yzerman, Sakic and soon Crosby are viewed. Maybe it's time for him to step aside as the leader and do what he does best which is score goals. He has many fantastic skills but right now leadership is not one of them.
Does Ovechkin have what it takes to be a great leader? His play at times can be enough to lead the team but he has a growing reputation as a player who cannot come through in the big games. Great leaders have been known to step it up a level when it matters most but Ovie takes a step in the opposite direction. Constantly staying long on shifts and trying to do it all by himself do not set good examples as a captain. During moments of adversity like what the Capitals faced in this series it is the captains job to set the example that leads the team to victory and too often than not Ovechkin set the wrong example. Ovie will never be considered among the great leaders of the game the way Yzerman, Sakic and soon Crosby are viewed. Maybe it's time for him to step aside as the leader and do what he does best which is score goals. He has many fantastic skills but right now leadership is not one of them.
Sunday, April 25, 2010
Ottawa Senators give fans reason for optimism despite first round exit.
After their first round defeat at the hands of the Pittsburgh Penguins a number of Ottawa Senators fans have been lashing out at the team saying they have once again choked. I wouldn't consider losing to the defending champions a "choke". The fact they gave the Pens such a hard time was actually a bit of a surprise and their fans should be excited by what they saw. One year removed from missing the playoffs they bounced back to finish fifth in the Eastern Conference despite losing their premiere sniper, Dany Heatley.
Montreal may have dominated the headlines in terms of goaltending controversies but fortunately for Ottawa they may have one of their own. Brian Elliott stepped up as a legitimate #1 netminder while in the final 2 games of the Penguins series Pascal Leclaire showed flashes that he may just come through on the potential he has displayed earlier in his career.
Rather than crying in their corn flakes and moaning about the team's performance Senators fans should be excited about the future and enjoy the fact that in 2010 their team bounced back much better than many expected.
Montreal may have dominated the headlines in terms of goaltending controversies but fortunately for Ottawa they may have one of their own. Brian Elliott stepped up as a legitimate #1 netminder while in the final 2 games of the Penguins series Pascal Leclaire showed flashes that he may just come through on the potential he has displayed earlier in his career.
Rather than crying in their corn flakes and moaning about the team's performance Senators fans should be excited about the future and enjoy the fact that in 2010 their team bounced back much better than many expected.
Saturday, April 24, 2010
Zambrano's move to bullpen could revolutionize a new breed of pitcher
Carlos Zambrano's demotion to the Cubs bullpen came as a surprise to many. Off to a slow start after being lit up on opening day he has settled down with 3 shakey but solid outings. However, with Ted Lilly returning to the rotation someone had to go. It's not very often an opening day starter signed to a $91 million contract is the one getting relegated to the pen.
Since becoming a full-time starter Zambrano has been one of baseball's most consitant pitchers. Before last season he had finished below 15th in the NL in wins only in his first full season in the rotation while annually posting an ERA under 4.00.
Are the Cubs really better off with Tom Gorzelanny or Carlos Silva expected to pitch 6+ quality innings every fifth day? Zambrano is clearly the best pitcher of the trio so how can the Cubs think this is a good move?
I can't make much sense of it either but I'll do my best.
The Cubs bullpen has been one of their biggest weaknesses and Big Z is the best option to come to the rescue. Also, Zambrano is baseball's best hitting pitcher this side of Micah Owings. His bat in the bullpen gives manager Lou Pinella options. No longer will he need to waste a reliever and a pinch hitter when the pitcher slot comes up in the order. Zambrano is strong enough at the plate that he can pitch multiple innings in relief without hurting the team's offence. His endurance will also allow him to step in when Gorzelanny and Silva falter and keep the Cubs in games. A pitcher with that ability could come in handy saving an overworked bullpen.
Carlos Zambrano could be the first in a new breed of hitting long relievers meant to save bullpens or he could just be another failed experiment in the Cubs' never-ending march of failure.
Since becoming a full-time starter Zambrano has been one of baseball's most consitant pitchers. Before last season he had finished below 15th in the NL in wins only in his first full season in the rotation while annually posting an ERA under 4.00.
Are the Cubs really better off with Tom Gorzelanny or Carlos Silva expected to pitch 6+ quality innings every fifth day? Zambrano is clearly the best pitcher of the trio so how can the Cubs think this is a good move?
I can't make much sense of it either but I'll do my best.
The Cubs bullpen has been one of their biggest weaknesses and Big Z is the best option to come to the rescue. Also, Zambrano is baseball's best hitting pitcher this side of Micah Owings. His bat in the bullpen gives manager Lou Pinella options. No longer will he need to waste a reliever and a pinch hitter when the pitcher slot comes up in the order. Zambrano is strong enough at the plate that he can pitch multiple innings in relief without hurting the team's offence. His endurance will also allow him to step in when Gorzelanny and Silva falter and keep the Cubs in games. A pitcher with that ability could come in handy saving an overworked bullpen.
Carlos Zambrano could be the first in a new breed of hitting long relievers meant to save bullpens or he could just be another failed experiment in the Cubs' never-ending march of failure.
Matt Kemp looking to go from breakout star to MVP
Making a splash in his rookie year by batting .342 with 10 HR and 10 SB Matt Kemp flashed five tool potential. While the average dropped as expected he increased his HR totals each of the past two seasons to 18 and 26 and swiped 35 and 34 bases respectively.
While 2009 was his true coming out party by making good on his potential and becoming a legitimate stud, 2010 could be the year he really puts the hurt on opponents. Through 16 games he has already crushed 7 longballs to tie for the major league lead. While his home run rates are unsustainable he has done enough to show that the power he showed in 2009 is here to stay and will likely be built upon to the tune of 30-35 HR. His AVG stands at .313 which is .014 above his career average including the spectacular .342 from his rookie season. One would assume the AVG would drop closer to career levels however his .326 BABIP - .034 lower than career average - suggests the .313 AVG could actually rise. Still only 25 he has a bright future ahead of him.
In 2010 Matt Kemp could power the Dodgers offense with gaudy numbers in the range of .330-35-120-35. After Chris Brown you would think Rihanna would have stayed away from such prolific sluggers...
While 2009 was his true coming out party by making good on his potential and becoming a legitimate stud, 2010 could be the year he really puts the hurt on opponents. Through 16 games he has already crushed 7 longballs to tie for the major league lead. While his home run rates are unsustainable he has done enough to show that the power he showed in 2009 is here to stay and will likely be built upon to the tune of 30-35 HR. His AVG stands at .313 which is .014 above his career average including the spectacular .342 from his rookie season. One would assume the AVG would drop closer to career levels however his .326 BABIP - .034 lower than career average - suggests the .313 AVG could actually rise. Still only 25 he has a bright future ahead of him.
In 2010 Matt Kemp could power the Dodgers offense with gaudy numbers in the range of .330-35-120-35. After Chris Brown you would think Rihanna would have stayed away from such prolific sluggers...
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Is baseball in need of a pitch clock?
One of the most common complaints directed towards baseball is it's too slow. The main culprit for this is the amount of time taken by pitchers between throws. Many people have suggested implementing a pitch clock of 15-20 seconds and if the pitcher goes over they are assessed a ball. The Southeastern Conference will experiment with the idea during the 2010 tournament and may implement it into regular season play for the 2011 season. In past experiments it has shown to cut off about 20 minutes from the average game time. This time saving tool would certainly be welcome to many baseball viewers but is it worth it?
The beauty of baseball is the tension that is created because there is no clock. Anything can happen on the next pitch and during a close games in the late innings you find yourself on the edge of your seat waiting in suspense. The slow speed of the game is what separates it from the rest of the sports. Many people can't get their heads around this but it's their loss.
Baseball is also a thinking man's game. With every pitch there are endless possibilities and endless strategies. By allowing pitchers to move at their own pace it allows them to play the game as they choose to play it. Controlling the pace is yet another strategy that can be implemented.
Major League Baseball rules already state that a pitcher must deliver the ball within 20 seconds or risk being assessed a ball however this is rarely if ever enforced. If MLB is concerned about about lengthy games they can start by encouraging umpires to be more aware of pitch times.
For now those of us who can appreciate the finer details of baseball are willing to sit back and enjoy those extra 20 minutes of dirt kicking and batter time-outs giving us a chance to ponder over what's coming next. However, in the forever ongoing pursuit of new viewers baseball may have to bow to the demands of the MTV generation and their attention spans the size of Chone Figgins and implement this time saving device.
The beauty of baseball is the tension that is created because there is no clock. Anything can happen on the next pitch and during a close games in the late innings you find yourself on the edge of your seat waiting in suspense. The slow speed of the game is what separates it from the rest of the sports. Many people can't get their heads around this but it's their loss.
Baseball is also a thinking man's game. With every pitch there are endless possibilities and endless strategies. By allowing pitchers to move at their own pace it allows them to play the game as they choose to play it. Controlling the pace is yet another strategy that can be implemented.
Major League Baseball rules already state that a pitcher must deliver the ball within 20 seconds or risk being assessed a ball however this is rarely if ever enforced. If MLB is concerned about about lengthy games they can start by encouraging umpires to be more aware of pitch times.
For now those of us who can appreciate the finer details of baseball are willing to sit back and enjoy those extra 20 minutes of dirt kicking and batter time-outs giving us a chance to ponder over what's coming next. However, in the forever ongoing pursuit of new viewers baseball may have to bow to the demands of the MTV generation and their attention spans the size of Chone Figgins and implement this time saving device.
Halak's Shellacking
I have long considered myself a good judge of goaltending talent. Years ago before ever holding down a full time starting job I was preaching to anyone who would listen about how Ilya Bryzgalov was going to be the next big thing in net. The latest netminder I believed would be having me saying "I told you so" for years to come was the Montreal Canadians' Jaroslav Halak. Why there has even been a goaltending controversy in Quebec was beyond me.
His performance during the Olympics only helped back up my beliefs that one day soon he will be competing for the Vezina.
However, Halak's rise to the elite ranks of goalies may have taken a hit this week after the playoff pounding he received at the hands of the Washington Capitals. Shell shocked by the relentless offensive onslaught led by Nicklas Backstrom and co. it may have led to his confidence being permanently shook.
There are few positions in sports where one bad game can lead to a complete crumbling of a players future performance. Tommy Salo was never the same after watching the puck flutter off his back and into the net during the 2002 Olympics and Roberto Luongo has been a shell of himself after being lit up in game 6 of last year's playoff series against the Blackhawks.
Halak, 24, is still young enough to bounce back, but this beat down will surely be the greatest test of his mental fortitude. When the series began he had all but locked up the #1 goalie job in Montreal, however, a couple of shaky games later and the door was re-opened for Price. Price didn't fare much better and Halak may get at least one more chance in this series to regain his confidence before hitting the links.
This series may end up being a turning point for the young goalie and used as motivation to take his game to another level or the beginning of the end for yet another once promising young Montreal netminder.
His performance during the Olympics only helped back up my beliefs that one day soon he will be competing for the Vezina.
However, Halak's rise to the elite ranks of goalies may have taken a hit this week after the playoff pounding he received at the hands of the Washington Capitals. Shell shocked by the relentless offensive onslaught led by Nicklas Backstrom and co. it may have led to his confidence being permanently shook.
There are few positions in sports where one bad game can lead to a complete crumbling of a players future performance. Tommy Salo was never the same after watching the puck flutter off his back and into the net during the 2002 Olympics and Roberto Luongo has been a shell of himself after being lit up in game 6 of last year's playoff series against the Blackhawks.
Halak, 24, is still young enough to bounce back, but this beat down will surely be the greatest test of his mental fortitude. When the series began he had all but locked up the #1 goalie job in Montreal, however, a couple of shaky games later and the door was re-opened for Price. Price didn't fare much better and Halak may get at least one more chance in this series to regain his confidence before hitting the links.
This series may end up being a turning point for the young goalie and used as motivation to take his game to another level or the beginning of the end for yet another once promising young Montreal netminder.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Sports Heckling: America's Other Pastime
Daaaaaarryl! Daaaaaaarryl! Daaaaaarryl! Ever since the world's most talented athletes began getting paid to play a game there have been swarms of fans flocking to stadiums to tell them how much they suck. Sports hecklers are as much a part of the game as over-priced beer, foam hands and the desire to take off your shirt in public.
Most sports have their fair share of lunatic fans, however, baseball seems to attract the most. It's the intimacy of baseball that really allows the heckler to flourish. A batsmen will be at the plate for for up to a minute or two giving you ample time to criticize them. Take this plate appearance by Evan Longoria for example
The Blue Jays fans' jeers are a perfect example of the clever heckle.
And then there's the not so clever
Whether these jeers have an effect on the outcome of the game cannot be known. Any pro athlete will say they can deal with it but it is impossible for them not to hear it. A deafening crowd has been known to swing momentum in the home team's favour so it is plausible one pest in the crowd could get under an player's skin. Others embrace the heckle like Carlos Lee
All effectiveness aside the heckler adds personality to the game and if done well can be just as entertaining as the competition itself. One of the more famous fans is Tampa Bay Rays "Happy Heckler" Robert Szasz. You can find a mini biography of Szasz here
Most sports have their fair share of lunatic fans, however, baseball seems to attract the most. It's the intimacy of baseball that really allows the heckler to flourish. A batsmen will be at the plate for for up to a minute or two giving you ample time to criticize them. Take this plate appearance by Evan Longoria for example
The Blue Jays fans' jeers are a perfect example of the clever heckle.
And then there's the not so clever
Whether these jeers have an effect on the outcome of the game cannot be known. Any pro athlete will say they can deal with it but it is impossible for them not to hear it. A deafening crowd has been known to swing momentum in the home team's favour so it is plausible one pest in the crowd could get under an player's skin. Others embrace the heckle like Carlos Lee
All effectiveness aside the heckler adds personality to the game and if done well can be just as entertaining as the competition itself. One of the more famous fans is Tampa Bay Rays "Happy Heckler" Robert Szasz. You can find a mini biography of Szasz here
Friday, April 16, 2010
Attendance Woes In Toronto Not Just A Problem For The Jays
The lack of attendance at Toronto Blue Jays games these days is a perfect example of how the lack of parity is hurting the sport. With the Yankees, Red Sox and now Rays blocking the way to the playoffs there is little reason to get excited about the Jays.
Each of the past 2 seasons they have finished 4th in the division. This implies they are not fielding a quality team, however, their record against teams outside their division was 49-41 each year. The .544 winning percentage would have been enough to win the central division in 2009 and was better than Chicago and Minnesota's 2008 winning percentages before they faced off in a 1 game playoff.
With a fraction of the payroll they have managed to remain competitive. The Tampa Bay Rays are well aware of how the Jays feel as their window of competing in the AL East is closing. It took years of finishing last and stockpiling prospects before they could field a competitive team. With many of those young players' contracts coming up the Rays will be forced to shed some of their talent and begin the rebuilding process all over again.
A mere 10,000 fans are making their way to the Rogers Center for games this season. There are some who say it is not a baseball town and all they care about is hockey. This is the same city that became the first to reach 4,000,000 fans in one season in 1991 which would be the first of 3 consecutive years of reaching that plateau.
There is no way someone can say Toronto is not a baseball city. It's just hard for a fan to get excited when they know their team doesn't stand a chance before the season even starts. If baseball cannot survive in North America's fifth biggest market there is a real problem. Sport is obviously exciting because of its competitive nature but with the competition including fewer and fewer teams there is little chance baseball will grow its fan base anytime soon.
Each of the past 2 seasons they have finished 4th in the division. This implies they are not fielding a quality team, however, their record against teams outside their division was 49-41 each year. The .544 winning percentage would have been enough to win the central division in 2009 and was better than Chicago and Minnesota's 2008 winning percentages before they faced off in a 1 game playoff.
With a fraction of the payroll they have managed to remain competitive. The Tampa Bay Rays are well aware of how the Jays feel as their window of competing in the AL East is closing. It took years of finishing last and stockpiling prospects before they could field a competitive team. With many of those young players' contracts coming up the Rays will be forced to shed some of their talent and begin the rebuilding process all over again.
A mere 10,000 fans are making their way to the Rogers Center for games this season. There are some who say it is not a baseball town and all they care about is hockey. This is the same city that became the first to reach 4,000,000 fans in one season in 1991 which would be the first of 3 consecutive years of reaching that plateau.
There is no way someone can say Toronto is not a baseball city. It's just hard for a fan to get excited when they know their team doesn't stand a chance before the season even starts. If baseball cannot survive in North America's fifth biggest market there is a real problem. Sport is obviously exciting because of its competitive nature but with the competition including fewer and fewer teams there is little chance baseball will grow its fan base anytime soon.
Joe Mauer: Greatest Ever?
Barring a dramatic drop in production or a career ending injury we are privileged to be witness to the greatest catcher of all-time. Joe Mauer has won as many batting titles as every other catcher in history combined. In 2006 he became the first backstop to lead the American League as well as MLB in batting. His .327 career average leads all catchers in the modern era.
Hitting is not the only area he excels. He also taken home back to back Gold Glove awards.
He still has a ways to go to catch Rod Carew's Minnesota Twins franchise record of 7 batting titles, but with the talent Mauer possesses nothing is out of reach. AS he continues to play more records are sure to be broken further cementing his legacy.
Joe Mauer may be the only player in our lifetime to go down as the greatest ever at their position. Baseball fans everywhere should feel fortunate to witness such a thing and sit back and bask in Mauer's sweet swing and glorious sideburns.
Hitting is not the only area he excels. He also taken home back to back Gold Glove awards.
He still has a ways to go to catch Rod Carew's Minnesota Twins franchise record of 7 batting titles, but with the talent Mauer possesses nothing is out of reach. AS he continues to play more records are sure to be broken further cementing his legacy.
Joe Mauer may be the only player in our lifetime to go down as the greatest ever at their position. Baseball fans everywhere should feel fortunate to witness such a thing and sit back and bask in Mauer's sweet swing and glorious sideburns.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Vancouver Canucks looking primed for long playoff run
Every team will have their question marks heading into the playoffs, the only difference is the Canucks' question marks could easily be quieted. The main concern for the team is their goaltending where Roberto Luongo has looked shaky all season long and especially so after the Olympic Break. A solid first round between the pipes could give Luongo the confidence needed to go deep into the playoffs. It wasn't long ago that Roberto carried the team on his back and he could easily return to that form.
There may be no other team with more scoring depth than the Canucks who have 3 legitimate scoring lines. The Thornton/Heatley/Marleau line is considered by many to be the top line in the league but the Sedins and Alex Burrows are not far behind.
Once a strength, the defence is probably Vancouver's weakest area. That says a lot considering they have a blueline many teams would be thrilled to have. Ehrhoff, Salo, Bieska, Edler, O'Brien and Alberts should be sufficient enough to allow the offense a chance to light up the score sheet with Luongo bailing them out when they falter.
There may be no other team with more scoring depth than the Canucks who have 3 legitimate scoring lines. The Thornton/Heatley/Marleau line is considered by many to be the top line in the league but the Sedins and Alex Burrows are not far behind.
Once a strength, the defence is probably Vancouver's weakest area. That says a lot considering they have a blueline many teams would be thrilled to have. Ehrhoff, Salo, Bieska, Edler, O'Brien and Alberts should be sufficient enough to allow the offense a chance to light up the score sheet with Luongo bailing them out when they falter.
David Huff looking to build on so-so rookie season
Cleveland Indian starting pitcher David Huff could be one of this year's break out performers. In 2009 he posted an 11-8 record with a 5.62 ERA. Huff finished strong posting a 2.18 ERA in his final five starts. Rookie struggles can be blamed for the inflated ERA as when he was hit he was hit hard. The final five starts show an ability to shut opposing teams down. As he gets more accustomed to pitching in the big leagues David will improve his composure and will be less likely to give up the huge innings that inflated his ERA during his rookie campaign. His minor league numbers are impressive especially in 08 when he limited opposing teams to less than a runner per inning between AA and AAA. His 19th place ranking on ESPN's 2009 prospects list suggests tons of potential. in 2010 he could be one of the bright spots for the lowly Indians.
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Garrett Jones looking more and more like a legitimate major league hitter
Breaking into the big leagues at age 28, many brushed off Garrett Jones' explosive rookie season as a fluke. From what he has shown so far he may not be just another one year wonder. He has displayed a good eye and has done a nice job waiting for his pitches. The average is likely to drop from the .293 in 09 and fall somewhere in the .270 range. With his power a year approaching 30 HR is a real possibility. He showed surprising speed in 2009 with 10 steals in 84 games with the Pirates and another 14 in AAA. The 24 swipes in 09 topped his previous high of 12 posted in 04 between A and AA. A repeat is unlikely but any speed he provides the Pirates offense will be a good thing. With young stars-in-the-making Andrew McCutchen and Lastings Milledge hitting in front of him he could have his fair share of RBI situations this year. Garrett Jones has a combination of power and a good eye at the plate that can be lethal to opposing pitchers. He has the makings of a feel good story about determination and perserverance.
Aubrey Huff infield home run
Hearing news of an Aubrey Huff inside the park home run may have confused a few people but it was an excellent example of home field advantage at work. Dealing with that jagged wall dubbed "Triples Alley" on a regular basis, A Giants outfielder would be more likely to play the wall's unpredictability and ease off once realizing the ball would be over their head. Not to say this wouldn't have happened to the Giants but they are more aware of their own surroundings and little advantages like that can add up. The home run broke up a scoreless game and seemed to spark the Giants offense to a four run inning.
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Jason Castro
With Buster Posey and Matt Wieters getting all the attention of late, Houston's Jason Castro looks to make his way into the conversation about the best young catchers in baseball. Drafted 10th overall in 2008 Castro is likely to provide a solid average in the .270-.280 range with home run numbers approaching double digits. Defensively he is solid behind the plate sporting impressive fielding percentage and runners thrown out numbers during his college years.
Monday, April 12, 2010
Rios delivers strong outing in return to Toronto
Despite being met by a jeering crowd every time he was at the plate or a ball was hit his way, Alex managed to have a 3 for 5 night with a stolen base. Rios could be in line for a bounce back season after hitting just .199 in 41 games with chicago last year. The talent has always been there but he seemed in different at times. If Ozzie Guillen can motivate him he could return to form.
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Vernon Wells looking like old self. Which is actually his younger self but anyway.
With 4 HRs in the first 3 games he is looking a lot like the .300 30HR 100RBI 10SB Center Fielder Blue Jays fans were accustomed to seeing. He isn't likely to repeat those sorts of numbers but with the look of his swing and a full season of health a line of .290 25HR 90RBI 8SB wouldn't be out of reach. He still possesses above average range as a center fielder.
Travis Snider
Although hitting only .188 through the first 5 games, 22 year old Travis Snider is sporting a pretty sweet looking .381 OBP. This shows an improvement in spotting big league pitches and should lead to him making more contact and unleashing that powerful swing of his. Listed as 6' though likely smaller he has surprising power for a guy his size. In 2010 look for a modest increase in power and a productive rise in AVG and OBP.
Thursday, April 8, 2010
Penguins Rounding Into Form At Right Time
Despite being near the top of the standings all year the Penguins have played an inconsistent season. Injuries to Gonchar and Malkin derailed the powerplay while Kunitz and Talbot missing time hurt the team's depth. Hovering around the basement all year long the powerplay is now looking like the devastating weapon we saw in last year's playoffs. The addition of Ponikarovsky adds a bit of offense and he is starting to click with his new linemates and Jordan Leopold gives the Pens another puck moving defenseman and upgrades the back-end of their blueline.
Despite the Capitals' stellar regular season the defending champion Penguins may still be the team to beat in the East.
Despite the Capitals' stellar regular season the defending champion Penguins may still be the team to beat in the East.
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Jason Heyward
Watching Jason Heyward hit a home run on the first swing of his career was a magical thing to witness, but I still wasn't sure whether to believe the hype. Then I saw him bash a pitch down the line for an rbi double and got a good look at his swing. Seeing a smooth and blazing fast swing like that from the left side conjured up images of a young Griffey Jr. At 20 years of age there is no reason to believe this kid isn't capable of hitting 40-50 home runs sometime in his future. As for what to expect in his rookie season, look for something similar to Griffey's first or second year numbers from this young phenom.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Julio Borbon
Judging by his minor league stats and early mlb numbers, Julio Borbon has the potential to become a Kenny Lofton type player. With blazing speed and a bit of pop in his bat he could reach double digit homers and 50+ saves sometime in the near future. He is sure to wreak havoc at the top of a potent rangers lineup.
Senators are Win Ninjas in 09-10
The Ottawa Senators have quietly had themselves a successful regular season. Without one of the league's premiere goal scorers and few major off-season acquisitions they have managed to all but locked up 5th in the conference. Mike Fisher has stepped his game up and cooled off of late. Spezza struggled early before going on the disabled list but has turned it on in the past month or two. Alfreddson and Spezza have lost 10 and 20 games to injuries but players like Fisher, Michalek and Kovalez have managed to provide enough offense to keep the team competitive in their absence. Brian Elliot has provided solid goaltending and a young man named Brodeur has a 3-0-0 record in 3 games with a 1.00 goals against average and .966 save percentage. Martin only managed a 2-1-0 record with a 3.36 gaa and .882 in his first 4 games. Just saying.
Whether this team can cause any major trouble for their first round opponent waits to be seen. A healthy roster and they could surprise a lot of people.
Whether this team can cause any major trouble for their first round opponent waits to be seen. A healthy roster and they could surprise a lot of people.
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Coyote Ugly: Ilya Bryzgalov's Hart Trophy Hopes
The NHL's current shutout leader Ilya Bryzgalov's final shutout of the season is probably to be the one he deserves the least. June 23rd at the NHL Awards in Las Vegas Bryzgalov is likely to leave empty handed though not for a lack of trying.
Currently second in wins, fifth in goals against average and sixth in save percentage Ilya certainly has the numbers to be a top contender for the Vezina. However, it is the Hart trophy that he is most deserving. No player has been more valuable to their team than Bryzgalov. Take him off the Coyotes roster and you have a basement dweller the likes of Uncle Kenny who won't leave home. Ilya's influence on the team may have reached ever further than in between the posts. He could very well be the player most valuable to all of hockey. As the man most responsible for leading the Coyotes to a 100+ point season and turning them into a serious cup contender he may have saved hockey in Phoenix* and saved the NHL's attempt to gain exposure is the southern markets.
His main competitors for the Hart are Ryan Miller, Alex Ovechkin, Sidney Crosby, Henrik Sedin and that kid from The Mighty Ducks who shoots the knuckle puck.
Miller's play garnered him significant Hart consideration earlier in the season and although he has struggled of late his early season dominance is likely to matter more come ballot time. His Olympic MVP award shouldn't have an influence on the Hart voting but it certainly helped raise Miller's profile this season. Bryzgalov has been the more consistent of the two netminders while posting a better winning percentage with an inferior team in front of him. And not that it means anything but Bryzgalov did beat Canada 2-1 for a period and a half in the Olympic quarter finals. I just like to point that out whenever I can. Kinda like when a kid trips and their legs come over and kick themself in the back of the head. Classic!
The leading candidate among skaters seems to be Alex Ovechkin. Ovechkin's numbers are marginally better than those of Crosby and Sedin but there is more to an MVP season than loading up on points. This year his high point total can be attributed more to the talent around him than his dominance of the game. Linemate Nicklas Backstrom has found his scoring touch thus greatly influencing Ovechkin's assist totals. Ovechkin's case for the Hart may also be hurt by the fact that the Capitals have gone 7-2-1 in games missed by him. Beyond mere numbers the voters might not want to give the award to a guy who has been suspended twice while showing little respect for opposing players and acting above the law. Questions of character shouldn't come into play when awarding players for achievements in their sport but they often do. (See: Generation's greatest 2nd baseman denied first ballot hall vote for spitting on ump then (allegedly) giving girl AIDS.)
Crosby leads Ovechkin in goals despite not being flanked by an elite set-up man like Backstrom. With Bill Guerin on his wing he might as well be receiving feeds from Old Man Higgins down the street. You know the guy with the wonky eye who shouts at the birds. Yeah him. Crosby also proves more valuable by serving time on the penalty kill as well as being one of the leagues top face-off men and leaders. His two way game is also improving rapidly.
Sedin leads the league in points all while averaging over a minute less ice-time per game than Sid and Ovie, however, 29 goals and 75 assists aren't nearly as sexy as 46 goals. Of the three forwards in contention Sedin seems to be the one most valuable to their team this year with Luongo struggling and brother Daniel missing significant time. It has been Henrik's steady play that has kept the Canucks near the top of the standings. If the Hart were awarded for having an unusual, borderline creepy affection for your twin brother then Henrik would win hands down.
Most often the Hart is awarded to the player whose numbers stand out from the rest of the field. This year there is no clear cut leader and the award should be given to the player who has proven to be the most valuable both to their team and to the game. Bryzgalov has been the game's best player but like most people who go to Vegas in June he will leave with no major winnings and heat rash the size of Olli Jokinen's forehead.
*ha ha ha ha ok maybe not. No-one in Phoenix cares about hockey. They are all too busy searching ebay for locks of Steve Nash's hair.
Currently second in wins, fifth in goals against average and sixth in save percentage Ilya certainly has the numbers to be a top contender for the Vezina. However, it is the Hart trophy that he is most deserving. No player has been more valuable to their team than Bryzgalov. Take him off the Coyotes roster and you have a basement dweller the likes of Uncle Kenny who won't leave home. Ilya's influence on the team may have reached ever further than in between the posts. He could very well be the player most valuable to all of hockey. As the man most responsible for leading the Coyotes to a 100+ point season and turning them into a serious cup contender he may have saved hockey in Phoenix* and saved the NHL's attempt to gain exposure is the southern markets.
His main competitors for the Hart are Ryan Miller, Alex Ovechkin, Sidney Crosby, Henrik Sedin and that kid from The Mighty Ducks who shoots the knuckle puck.
Miller's play garnered him significant Hart consideration earlier in the season and although he has struggled of late his early season dominance is likely to matter more come ballot time. His Olympic MVP award shouldn't have an influence on the Hart voting but it certainly helped raise Miller's profile this season. Bryzgalov has been the more consistent of the two netminders while posting a better winning percentage with an inferior team in front of him. And not that it means anything but Bryzgalov did beat Canada 2-1 for a period and a half in the Olympic quarter finals. I just like to point that out whenever I can. Kinda like when a kid trips and their legs come over and kick themself in the back of the head. Classic!
The leading candidate among skaters seems to be Alex Ovechkin. Ovechkin's numbers are marginally better than those of Crosby and Sedin but there is more to an MVP season than loading up on points. This year his high point total can be attributed more to the talent around him than his dominance of the game. Linemate Nicklas Backstrom has found his scoring touch thus greatly influencing Ovechkin's assist totals. Ovechkin's case for the Hart may also be hurt by the fact that the Capitals have gone 7-2-1 in games missed by him. Beyond mere numbers the voters might not want to give the award to a guy who has been suspended twice while showing little respect for opposing players and acting above the law. Questions of character shouldn't come into play when awarding players for achievements in their sport but they often do. (See: Generation's greatest 2nd baseman denied first ballot hall vote for spitting on ump then (allegedly) giving girl AIDS.)
Crosby leads Ovechkin in goals despite not being flanked by an elite set-up man like Backstrom. With Bill Guerin on his wing he might as well be receiving feeds from Old Man Higgins down the street. You know the guy with the wonky eye who shouts at the birds. Yeah him. Crosby also proves more valuable by serving time on the penalty kill as well as being one of the leagues top face-off men and leaders. His two way game is also improving rapidly.
Sedin leads the league in points all while averaging over a minute less ice-time per game than Sid and Ovie, however, 29 goals and 75 assists aren't nearly as sexy as 46 goals. Of the three forwards in contention Sedin seems to be the one most valuable to their team this year with Luongo struggling and brother Daniel missing significant time. It has been Henrik's steady play that has kept the Canucks near the top of the standings. If the Hart were awarded for having an unusual, borderline creepy affection for your twin brother then Henrik would win hands down.
Most often the Hart is awarded to the player whose numbers stand out from the rest of the field. This year there is no clear cut leader and the award should be given to the player who has proven to be the most valuable both to their team and to the game. Bryzgalov has been the game's best player but like most people who go to Vegas in June he will leave with no major winnings and heat rash the size of Olli Jokinen's forehead.
*ha ha ha ha ok maybe not. No-one in Phoenix cares about hockey. They are all too busy searching ebay for locks of Steve Nash's hair.
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