Saturday, January 8, 2011

Boom or Bust: Gio Gonzalez

A prospect that has been traded 3 times before planting his feet firmly on the mound in Oakland, Gio Gonzalez enjoyed a solid 2010. Managing to keep the ball in the strikezone enough to display his knee-buckling curve he laid down a 3.23 ERA. Most expect regression but it may not be as bad as most think. If Gio's control continues to improve 2010 may not stand out as his career year. His strand rate and BABIP are on the lucky side of things so the regression crowd has something there but if those numbers return to average Gio could easily make up for it with an increase in his K-rate. Before 2010 the only time he has posted a K/9 below 9 was an 8 start stint in A ball as an 18 year old.

So long as he doesn't walk the ballpark Gio is a strong candidate to be a #2-3SP on your fantasy team.

Boom Prediction: 17W/9L/3.40ERA/214IP/210K/1.32WHIP
Bust Prediction: 9W/12L/4.42ERA/178IP/165K/1.46WHIP

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