Garza has always had the stuff of a great pitcher. He has shown glimpses of greatness but has remained nothing more than a middle of the pack pitcher. His K-rate has been as high as 8.38 K/9 but that number sticks out from the rest of his annual rates of 6.84, 7.27, 6.24 and 6.60. The general consensus projects a a K/9 around 7.5 and ERA near 3.80. I wouldn't rule this out but I see it more of his best case scenarion. He allows a large amount of flyballs and has received some luck from the BABIP fairy and the LOB% Elf. Moving to Wrigley will not help a flyball pitcher and Garza should see his ERA rise. The Boom prediction is usually a best case scenario but I am going low with it. His Boom could be eclipsed but I don't see it coming from Garza and project regression.
Boom Prediction: 14W/9L/4.00ERA/205IP/167K/1.30WHIP
Bust Prediction: 9W/13L/4.38ERA/180IP/136K/1.37WHIP
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