Saturday, January 8, 2011

Boom or Bust - Third Base Edition: Pedro Alvarez, Edwin Encarnacion, Aramis Ramirez

Pedro Alvarez is a breakout waiting to happen. With fantastic power numbers in the minors he made his way to the majors quickly and after a slow debut month he really turned it on. Having Andrew McCutchen and Jose Tabata hitting in front of him will provide plenty of RBI opportunities. Only 24 on opening day Alvarez will run into some bumps in the road and that road could lead to consistent 30+ HR seasons. But for 2011 with such poor protection in the Pirates' lineup he will probably fall short of 30 unless he catches fire for an extended period of time during the season.

Boom Prediction: 576AB/158H/.274AVG/33HR/99RBI/78R
Bust Prediction: 522AB/133H/.255AVG/23HR/83RBI/65R

Edwin Encarnacion will split time at 1B and DH with Adam Lind in 2011. He has shown promise but so far has failed to live up to it. He has 30 HR power but is unlikely to get enough plate appearances to do so. He is worth a look if you're after a safe bet for 20HR with an outside chance at 30. He won't provide much in AVG he could have low RBI and R totals hitting near the bottom of the Jays low OBP lineup.

Boom Prediction: 456AB/120H/.263AVG/27HR/83RBI/69R
Bust Prediction: 400AB/95H/.238AVG/23HR/54RBI/48R


Aramis Ramirez
was hindered by injuries in 2010 and his numbers showed it. A slight return of his AVG should be expected as he posted .241 AVG after batting .289 or higher for the past 6 seasons. The power is still there so a HR total in the high 20s is likely. He could, however, miss more time to injuries and continue to decline. If he remains healthy he will be a solid bat but that is a major if. Chances are A-Ram doesn't go the entire season without hitting the DL.

Boom Prediction: 544AB/150H/.276AVG/28HR/94RBI/74R
Bust Prediction: 315AB/82H/.260AVG/14HR/43RBI/38R

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