Finally healthy for an entire season Rickie Weeks put up monster numbers in 2010. Weeks nearly doubled his career high in HRs going from 16 to 29. This makes it appear he is due for a drop back into the teens but his ISO was actually 3 points higher in 2007 when he only launched 16 over the wall. All of this means Rickie could be good for 20-25 HR. The scary thing about his 2010 numbers is he stole only 11 bases. Weeks has been an extremely proficient base stealer with a career 82% success rate. A jump to 20 SB is a real possibility. The strikeouts will keep the average down and I'm expecting the BABIP to drop to about .300 which will bring his AVG down toward the .250s.
We also can't forget about the injury history.
I think Weeks has great power and is a threat on the basepaths but I would keep his Bust numbers in mind on draft day. They are just as likely as another monster year and there is always the chances of Weeks missing considerable time.
Boom Prediction: 647AB/172H/.266AVG/28HR/86RBI/110R/20SB
Bust Prediction: 510AB/123H/.241AVG/19HR/64RBI/83R/12SB
Aaron Hill may have been the biggest letdown in fantasy in 2010. He remained powerful but his batting average suffered due to putting everything in the air. Hill has a smooth swing and is a better hitter than his AVG suggests. I believe he is a .270 20HR hitter which is good but not great. He is a safe bet to be an above average performer but it is unlikely he will be a dominating force like he was in 2009.
Boom Prediction: 645AB/180H/.279AVG/29HR/95RBI/92R
Bust Prediction: 505AB/132H/.261AVG/18HR/70RBI/74R
Kelly Johnson's power surge looked to be due to a move to a more hitter friendly park in Arizona with 16 of 26 coming in the Grand Canyon state. Heading into 2011 he should maintain the power while taking a slight dip in AVG. I wouldn't expect anything more than what he did in 2010 but he should be a solid fantasy 2B ranking in the bottom half of the top 10.
Boom Prediction: 600AB/168H/.280AVG/26HR/85RBI/90R/15SB
Bust Prediction: 540AB145H/.269AVG/20HR/73RBI/80R/7SB
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