Desmond Jennings' stock dropped this past season as he failed to build on the impressive numbers he put up in 2009. In AAA Desmond remained highly efficient on the basepaths but the power took a plunge and his average dropped quite a bit, although still respectable at .278. In 2011 he may not be as hyped as he was heading into 2010 but he is still worth keeping an eye on for your fantasy team simply because he is all but guaranteed a spot in the starting lineup out of spring training. The stolen bases will be there but the question is whether the power and average will rebound. As you can see by the projections I think Jennings will be a bit of a gamble in 2011. I would put my money on something closer to the bust prediction as he is likely to have his share of struggles in his first big league campaign but there is definite upside.
Boom Prediction: 600AB/170H/.283AVG/8HR/93R/50RBI/40SB
Bust Prediction: 520AB/138H/.265AVG/4HR/76R/35RBI/32SB
Domonic Brown may be the #1 hitting prospect heading into 2011. In 2010 he lived up to the promise that his athleticism and and size had always hinted at and destroyed AA/AAA pitching with a .327/.391/.589 line with 17SB. Many people see a 20-20 player in 2011 but I'm not buying it...yet. He may crack 20 HR but 20 SB seems like a long shot. His success rate for base stealing in the minors has been average and it is doubtful Charlie Manuel will let him run often. He struggled with the strikeout in his brief call-up last year and while he should make some corrections to bring that rate down it will probably sit at the quarter century mark meaning it would take a BABIP on the lucky side of .300 to get the average any higher than .275. those struggles will probably pop up again at various points this coming season. Anyone with his size and athleticism has a great chance for stardom but it will have to wait until he finds his comfort zone at the plate. We'll see glimpses of it in 2011 just not on a consistent basis.
Boom Prediction: 550AB/151H/.275AVG/25HR/78RBI/72R/15SB
Bust Prediction: 430AB/112H/.260AVG/17HR/60RBI/60R/8SB
The question of whether a young player's power will develop is a common one and nobody these days seems to have this question mark attached to them more than Freddie Freeman. Few seem to realize the power is already there. It may not be huge power but he has posted two seasons with ISOs over .200 in the minors. Many of the power questions come thanks to his .126 ISO in 2009 when he was adjusting to the higher minors as a 19 year old. In 2010 he rebounded with .200 in AAA at age 20. Freeman should hit 25 home runs during his peak years with a few years cracking 30. As for 2011 he will have another high level to adjust to so expect a total in the low to mid teens and more questions about his power.
Boom Prediction: 560AB/157H/.280AVG/19HR/84RBI/72R
Bust Prediction: 500AB/134H/.268AVG/14HR/71RBI/66R
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