The number one question surrounding Jason Heyward is whether his power will emerge in 2011. He displayed historic plate discipline for a player his age but for some his power was a letdown with "only" 18 HR. However, a .179 ISO for a 20 year makes that number a little more impressive. The fans at Fangraphs project him for 32 HR, .312 AVG with a 265 ISO, much of that ISO coming in the form of an equally impressive projected jump in doubles. As good as Heyward has looked a jump in power of .086 points of ISO is unlikely. Bill James takes a more modest approach projecting 22 HR, .295 AVG and a .198 ISO. However, it wouldn't surprise me to see more than 22HR with something in the mid 20s more likely. Just one look at Heyward and you have to realize the power will come but those expecting 30 HR and 20SB with a .300AVG will likely be disappointed. I put his Boom projection in that range because I won't rule it out for this year but that's his best case scenario in my eyes. His bust prediction is still an improvement on his rookie numbers because I don't see how he cannot make strides next year.
Boom Prediction: 600AB/182H/.303AVG/33HR/110RBI/112R/17SB
Bust Prediction: 560AB/150H/.268AVG/24HR/85RBI/85R/10SB
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